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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of Benjamin Netanya...","tags":[{"label":"世界","slug":"world"},{"label":"地缘政治","slug":"geopolitics"},{"label":"中东","slug":"middle-east"},{"label":"以色列","slug":"israel"},{"label":"政治","slug":"politics"}],"end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00","market_count":4,"total_volume":"115896501.89","status":"active","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-out-before-2027","markets":[{"title":"内塔尼亚胡会在2026年底前下台吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.395},{"name":"No","price":0.605}],"volume":"1133677.95","volume_24hr":"37215.84","status":"active","end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00"},{"title":"内塔尼亚胡会在6月30日前下台吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.065},{"name":"No","price":0.935}],"volume":"3761463.15","volume_24hr":"46309.88","status":"active","end_date":"2026-06-30 08:00:00"},{"title":"内塔尼亚胡会在4月30日前下台吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.02},{"name":"No","price":0.98}],"volume":"6797799.30","volume_24hr":"450791.89","status":"active","end_date":"2026-04-30 08:00:00"}]},{"id":453930,"title":"下届法国总统选举","description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via...","tags":[{"label":"选举","slug":"elections"},{"label":"全球选举","slug":"global-elections"},{"label":"世界","slug":"world"},{"label":"法国","slug":"france"},{"label":"政治","slug":"politics"}],"end_date":"2027-04-30 08:00:00","market_count":128,"total_volume":"103731999.84","status":"active","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election","markets":[{"title":"问题：乔丹·巴德拉拉会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.245},{"name":"No","price":0.755}],"volume":"1149215.14","volume_24hr":"7073.46","status":"active","end_date":"2027-04-30 08:00:00"},{"title":"爱德华·菲利普会在2027年的法国总统大选中获胜吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.195},{"name":"No","price":0.805}],"volume":"951934.00","volume_24hr":"3428.68","status":"active","end_date":"2027-04-30 08:00:00"},{"title":"问题：让-吕克·梅朗雄会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.115},{"name":"No","price":0.885}],"volume":"778966.06","volume_24hr":"9277.81","status":"active","end_date":"2027-04-30 08:00:00"},{"title":"问题：玛丽娜·勒庞会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.065},{"name":"No","price":0.935}],"volume":"826482.75","volume_24hr":"7022.63","status":"active","end_date":"2027-04-30 08:00:00"},{"title":"弗朗索瓦·奥朗德会在2027年法国总统选举中获胜吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.0395},{"name":"No","price":0.9605}],"volume":"1244406.30","volume_24hr":"20301.56","status":"active","end_date":"2027-04-30 08:00:00"}]},{"id":171796,"title":"巴西总统选举","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information,...","tags":[{"label":"外交政策","slug":"foreign-policy"},{"label":"伊朗","slug":"iran"},{"label":"世界","slug":"world"},{"label":"政治","slug":"politics"},{"label":"以色列","slug":"israel"}],"end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00","market_count":6,"total_volume":"69788112.88","status":"active","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-2027","markets":[{"title":"伊朗会在2027年前关闭霍尔木兹海峡吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.9995},{"name":"No","price":0.0005}],"volume":"5458819.46","volume_24hr":"565263.08","status":"active","end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00"},{"title":"伊朗会在3月31日前关闭霍尔木兹海峡吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.9995},{"name":"No","price":0.0005}],"volume":"58769891.12","volume_24hr":"7424053.71","status":"active","end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00"},{"title":"到6月30日，伊朗会关闭霍尔木兹海峡吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.9995},{"name":"No","price":0.0005}],"volume":"5265808.39","volume_24hr":"581707.25","status":"active","end_date":"2026-06-30 08:00:00"}]},{"id":765514,"title":"谁将被确认为美联储主席？","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.\n\nFormal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count....","tags":[{"label":"特朗普","slug":"trump"},{"label":"政治","slug":"politics"},{"label":"美联储利率","slug":"fed-rates"},{"label":"Jerome Powell","slug":"jerome-powell"},{"label":"Judy Shelton","slug":"judy-shelton"}],"end_date":"2026-10-31 08:00:00","market_count":35,"total_volume":"64451268.48","status":"active","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair","markets":[{"title":"朱迪·谢尔顿会被确认担任美联储主席吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.0005},{"name":"No","price":0.9995}],"volume":"23969633.68","volume_24hr":"3008228.63","status":"active","end_date":"2026-10-31 08:00:00"},{"title":"米歇尔·鲍曼会被确认担任美联储主席吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.0005},{"name":"No","price":0.9995}],"volume":"10610543.69","volume_24hr":"1839014.15","status":"active","end_date":"2026-10-31 08:00:00"}]},{"id":690750,"title":"伊朗政权会在6月30日之前倒台吗？","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures ...","tags":[{"label":"伊朗","slug":"iran"},{"label":"以色列","slug":"israel"},{"label":"中东","slug":"middle-east"},{"label":"地缘政治","slug":"geopolitics"},{"label":"世界","slug":"world"}],"end_date":"2026-06-30 08:00:00","market_count":1,"total_volume":"62912942.29","status":"active","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-june-30","markets":[{"title":"伊朗政权会在6月30日前垮台吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.0035},{"name":"No","price":0.9965}],"volume":"62913138.72","volume_24hr":"286559.52","status":"active","end_date":"2026-06-30 08:00:00"}]},{"id":1496848,"title":"美国宣布新的伊朗协议/停火延期... ？","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or d...","tags":[{"label":"政治","slug":"politics"},{"label":"地缘政治","slug":"geopolitics"},{"label":"伊朗停火","slug":"diplomacy-ceasefire"},{"label":"伊朗","slug":"iran"},{"label":"美国x伊朗","slug":"trump-iran"}],"end_date":null,"market_count":23,"total_volume":"62762553.17","status":"active","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by","markets":[{"title":"美国宣布在6月13日前达成新的伊朗协议/延长停火协议？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.0005},{"name":"No","price":0.9995}],"volume":"8675149.16","volume_24hr":"2285784.65","status":"active","end_date":"2026-06-13 08:00:00"}]},{"id":409969,"title":"耶稣基督会在2027年之前回来吗？","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.","tags":[{"label":"文化","slug":"pop-culture"},{"label":"衍生工具的父级","slug":"parent-for-derivative"}],"end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00","market_count":1,"total_volume":"61789259.74","status":"active","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027","markets":[{"title":"耶稣基督会在2027年前再来吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.0195},{"name":"No","price":0.9805}],"volume":"61791316.22","volume_24hr":"427014.35","status":"active","end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00"}]},{"id":536570,"title":"美国会通过……确认外星人存在吗？","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise,...","tags":[{"label":"文化","slug":"pop-culture"},{"label":"政治","slug":"politics"},{"label":"科学","slug":"science"},{"label":"外星人","slug":"aliens"}],"end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00","market_count":6,"total_volume":"55609891.62","status":"active","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027","markets":[{"title":"美国会在2027年前确认外星人存在吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.095},{"name":"No","price":0.905}],"volume":"34166144.53","volume_24hr":"20194.68","status":"active","end_date":"2026-12-31 08:00:00"},{"title":"美国会在9月30日前确认外星人存在吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.0485},{"name":"No","price":0.9515}],"volume":"1628668.99","volume_24hr":"12570.14","status":"active","end_date":"2026-09-30 08:00:00"},{"title":"美国会在6月30日前确认外星人存在吗？","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.0035},{"name":"No","price":0.9965}],"volume":"7193338.82","volume_24hr":"246749.54","status":"active","end_date":"2026-06-30 08:00:00"}]}]}